Posted by: Jazzaholic on March 20th, 2013The author's views are entirely his or her own and may not reflect the views of the Utah Jazz.
The Jazz are currently in a free fall and a loss to being out of the playoff race. So, the playoffs look unlikely.
Coaching: Ty has another year on his contract, but has been a lightening rod for critics of his substitution patterns, starting lineups, young player development/minutes and improvement in his coaching ability. He has done a good job of keeping the highest paid, longest tenured veterans happy.
Greg Miller seems more concerned with the bottom line, and appears to be happier with the extra revenue of a couple of playoff games, and not likely to want to pay Ty for a year, like he was forced to do with Toxic Raja. Also, Ty is still developing and once the Jazz shed themselves of most of the old vets, who are free agents, he will be forced to play/develop the kids (Can you say Money Ball?)
Prediction: One more year for Ty.
Money Ball: Dennis gets his first opportunity to make an imprint on the Jazz in the Draft and Free Agency. Will he let the dead wood go? Will he keep the contracts short? Will he push a Team Option in the final year, to make players more easily traded and give the Jazz greater flexibility? Will he push for a coaching change? Will he play Money Ball to shape the starting lineup?
Prediction: Kevin and Greg will give him some great latitude, to use his advanced metrics, and scouting, to mold the team. I think he’ll be decisive and we’ll have a new Sheriff in town.
June 27th Draft: It’s way too early to tell even who will be in the draft yet or how many picks the Jazz will use or trade. Here’s some draft predictions from nbadraft.net.
14. Mason Plumlee 6-11 240 PF Duke Sr.
21. Roy Gobert 7-1 230 C France
44. Michael Snaer 6-5 200 SG Florida State Sr.
Where are all those point guards?
Prediction: This late in the draft, they’ll be lucky to get a good rotation player. Let’s hope Dennis and Kevin can work some magic!
July 1st Free Agency: The Jazz look to have 7 returning players and 7 unrestricted Free Agents. The Jazz will have $34m-$36m in cap space, but $51,487,513 in Cap Holds. The cap space only comes into play, if they renounce the player’s Bird Rights or he signs with another team.
Big Al’s defense, ball sticking and high price make him expendable, despite his great teammate/mentor qualities. The Jazz let him go and renounce his rights, if cap space is needed.
Millsap tends to stick the ball and isn’t a starter against bigger starting power forwards. He doesn’t want to come off the bench, so Dennis plays Money Ball with Ty and let’s him walk.
Mo Williams has been injured and is more of a scorer than a point guard. There will be a shortage of point guards for the Jazz to select from, so it will come down to salary, contract length and other players in free agency or trades. He probably resigns at a lower ($8.5m) salary for a 2-3 year deal, hopefully with a Team Option in the last year.
Randy Foye, $2.5m, was having a great year until lately. He’s expressed a desire to come back and adds that ever more important 3 ball to the roster. He’s not the rebounder that Alec and Gordon are, but if he’s willing to sign for around the same salary, the Jazz probably bring him back for another year or two.
Earl Watson, $2.3m, and Jamaal Tinsley, $1.35m, need to plan on another team. They’re old and can’t score. They’re a liability on the offensive and defensive end of the court. Not a good combination. Despite their low salary, they’re gone.
DeMarre Caroll, $.85m, should have every effort made to resign him. Per dollar salary, he’s been the most productive player on the team! A Pogo type contract should be realistic, plus he should get more consistent minutes in the rotation, as Dennis hopefully plays Money Ball with Ty.
Is this the year Atomic (Ante Tomic) the willowy 7-2 C decides to try to move from Madrid to the NBA? Do the Jazz still even have an interest?
Final Prediction: Next year may not end up any better than this year, but we’ll finally start to see the kids get their opportunity to start and play a significant role. It will be a year where the Jazz will be poised for salary dumps, from tax payers, amnestied players (because they will be under the cap), Free Agents and waivers. Dennis will keep the salaries low and the contracts short, unless that special player unexpectedly becomes available.
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