Lottery Pick’s – Updated Nightly

Posted by: Jazzaholic on April 12th, 2012

The author's views are entirely his or her own and may not reflect the views of the Utah Jazz.

Updated : 4/16/2012, 00:00

I will update the standings EVERY night, so you won’t have to sort through all the standings.

The Jazz came up with every break possible, with Houston’s 2nd loss and a win over Dallas. The Suns move into 8th spot, tied with Houston at 29 losses. The Jazz are behind Houston 1 loss and the Suns 2 losses, because of the tie-breakers. If the Jazz can win their last 4 games, including the Phoenix game, they still need to pick up 1 extra loss by Phoenix and Houston (assuming a win with the Suns).

The Jazz still don’t control their own destiny. They need to win out and get a lot of luck from 2 teams. Odds are the Jazz just miss the playoffs, but it’s still possible!

Even if the Jazz can beat POR, without LA, twice, and Orlando, without Dwight, it’s unlikely they can make it past Phoenix, which has been a horrible match-up for the Jazz. The Suns game is at home, which helps the Jazz.

The Jazz need Detroit and Cleveland to “out tank” GS, because a Panzer division of tanks just rolled into Oakland. The GSWs have shut down everyone except the trainer and the water boys. They’re in full tank mode!!!

It still looks like Summer begins April 27th.

#1 Charlotte, 53 losses. (25% chance to win #1)

#2 Washington, 46 losses. (19.9%)

#3 New Orleans, 42 losses. (15.6%)

#4 Sacramento, 41 losses. (11.8%)

#5-#6  New Jersey and Toronto, 40 losses. (8.8%) (6.3%)

#7 Cleveland, 39 losses (4.3%)

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#8-#9  Detroit and Golden State,  38 losses. (Jazz pick, #8+).  (2.8%) (1.7%)

#10 Minnesota, 37 losses. (1.1%)

#11 Portland, 34 losses. (.8%)

#12- Milwaukee, 31 losses (.7%)

#13- Utah, 30 losses. (Jazz pick, if #14 or lower) (.6%)

#14 Houston, 29 losses. (.5%)

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A team can always make up win (win another game), but a loss can never be made up. No matter how much your team wins. unless another team loses, you gain no ground. The number of games eventually ends up the same and all that matters is, how many games your team has lost.

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2012 NBA mock draft
Each week until the NBA draft June 28, USA TODAY Sports will present the most updated prediction of how the first round will go from Steve Kyler of Hoopsworld.com. This is arguably the deepest draft in recent history mainly because the uncertainty of the NBA lockout led some players to stay in school an extra year. There could be more franchise-changing players in this class than any since 2003, which produced LeBron James, Dwyane Wade and Chris Bosh. Equally, this could be the year of the big man, with nine players 6-10 and taller going in the first round.
Pick	Team	Pos., Player	Ht., Wt.	School or country	Comment
1	Charlotte	F Anthony Davis	6′ 10″, 220	Kentucky	The top overall draft prospect. Big and physical. Can score from multiple places. Great feel for the game.
2	Washington	G Bradley Beal	6′ 4″, 201	Florida	Impact scoring guard. A Little undersized, but has almost perfect shooting mechanics. Easily the purest scorer in the class.
3	New Orleans	C Andre Drummond	6″ 10″, 251	Connecticut	Likely the best pure center prospect. Big frame. Great wingspan. Good feel for the game. Solid rebounder and shot blocker.
4	Cleveland	C Jared Sullinger	6′ 9″, 280	Ohio State	Big dominating insider player with a knack for creating space and scoring the ball. A solid and physical rebounder.
5	Sacramento	F Thomas Robinson	6′ 9″, 240	Kansas	Physically dominating. Proto-type Power Forward. Relentless in the paint. Polished player with proven ability.
6	Toronto	F Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	6-7, 228	Kentucky	Extremely athletic. Solid defender. Can guard multiple positions. Excellent in transition and can score.
7	Portland (from NJ)	F Harrison Barnes	6-8, 223	North Carolina	Extremely athletic. Attacks the basket. Solid feel for the game and explosive at times.
8	Detroit	F John Henson	6-11, 220	North Carolina	Extremely long. Amazing and effective shot blocker. Disruptive defensively and plays well in the paint.
9	Utah (from NJ via GSW)	G Damian Lilard	6-2, 185	Weber State	Prolific scorer with an amazing first step. Arguably the top point guard prospect.. Solid character player.
10	New Orleans (from LAC via MIN)	G Marquis Teague	6-2, 179	Kentucky	Amazingly fast with a great first step. Can really penetrate and get deep into the paint. Solid basketball IQ. A little raw offensively.
11	Portland	F Perry Jones	6-11, 220	Baylor	Crazy athletic. Can score from almost anywhere on the floor. Extremely long and agile. Explosive at the rim.
12	Milwaukee	F Terrence Jones	6-9, 249	Kentucky	Solid all-around player with decent range and prototypical size. Good defender with high basketball IQ. Left-handed with a solid feel for the game.
13	Utah	G Austin Rivers	6-4, 203	Duke	Prolific scorer. Decent athlete with a knack for scoring. High basketball IQ. Good feel for the offensive side of the game.
14	Phoenix	G Jeremy Lamb	6-5, 185	Connecticut	Explosive athlete with a crazy wingspan. Has great range out to the three-point line. Wiry frame with an explosive first step.
15	Houston (from NYK)	C Meyers Leonard	7-0, 240	Illinois	Long and athletic. Solid post player with a great feel for the game. Decent shooter. Extremely agile for his size.
16	Philadelphia	C Tyler Zeller	7-0, 250	North Carolina	Decent low post player with solid size. Smart player with a good feel for the game. Decent rebounder and shot blocker.
17	Dallas	G Kendall Marshall	6-4, 180	North Carolina	Natural floor leader with great feel for leading a team. Solid offensive player with decent range and size.
18	Denver	F Terrence Ross	6-7, 197	Washington	Big body with amazing range. Solid shooting form with a great first step. Gifted scorer who can create space.
19	New Jersey (from HOU)	F Moe Harkless	6-8, 208	St. John’s	Great length and athleticism. Solid footwork and size. Solid with the ball in his hands. Attacking-type slasher.
20	Boston	G Tony Wroten	6-5, 180	Washington	Extremely athletic combo-guard who can run the point. Dominating left-handed scorer. Great in transition and change of direction.
21	Memphis	G John Jenkins	6-4, 215	Vanderbilt	Solid shooter with a knack for scoring. Solid and mature overall game. High basketball IQ.
22	Boston (from LAC)	F Jeff Taylor	6-7, 226	Vanderbilt	Solid athlete with NBA size and ability. Instinctive defender and solid scorer from all over the floor.
23	Atlanta	C Arnett Moultrie	6-11, 220	Mississippi State	Excellent combo forward with solid size and length. Solid shooter from all over the floor. Long and extremely agile.
24	Orlando	G Tyshawn Taylor	6-3, 180	Kansas	Solid floor leader who can be explosive at times. Can score and penetrate with decent range.
25	Indiana	G Dion Waiters	6-4, 210	Syracuse	Solid combo-guard with decent range. Can play with the ball but is an instinctive scorer. Above average shooter with NBA range.
26	Cleveland (from LAL)	C Fab Melo	7-0, 250	Syracuse	True 7-foot center with prototypical length. Very raw offensively. Solid shot blocker and rebounder.
27	Miami	F Royce White	6-8, 270	Iowa State	An aggressive attack-the-rim forward who is big and physical. Good rebounder with great court awareness.
28	Golden State (from SAS)	F Andrew Nicholson	6-9, 220	St. Bonaventure	Experienced big man. Can score inside and outside. Solid shot blocker and rebounder.
29	Oklahoma City	F Evan Fournier	6-7, 206	Poitiers (France)	Excellent NBA size with a mature body. High skill level with solid scoring instincts. Deceptively athletic.
30	Chicago	C Festus Ezeli	6-11, 255	Vanderbilt	Prototypical NBA size and athleticism. Solid physical tools and can hold his own at both ends of the floor.

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Here’s the link to Chad Fords latest lotto picks.

http://espn.go.com/nba/lottery2012/mockdraft

He has a button where you can run a simulated lotto. The first time I did it, the Jazz moved up to #2!!!

He lists the Jazz with Kendall Marshall at #9 and Jeremy Lamb at #14.

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Jazzaholic

Replies: 19

 

Views: 2519

19 Responses

1. Jazzaholic says:

   April 12, 2012 at 2:34 am

   The next 10 spins left the Jazz in exactly the same position #9 and #14.
   Jazzaholic
2. Andrew says:

   April 12, 2012 at 11:46 am

   Do the Jazz get the GS pick pre-drawing? Or if it draws lower than 7, do we not get it anymore?
3. Jazzaholic says:

   April 12, 2012 at 12:27 pm

   Post drawing. So if they finish #8 and move up to #3, they retain the pick and the Jazz probably get it next year.

   Similarly, NJNs finish #6 and draw #2, they keep their pick, top 3 protected, and the Blazers get next year’s pick from NJ.

   Jazzaholic
4. Jazzaholic says:

   April 12, 2012 at 1:57 pm

   DAL at GSW is a pivotal game tonight.

   If the Warriors can win, it really helps the Jazz get their lottery pick.

   If Dallas loses, they drop to 27 loses, but remember they own the tie-breaker, so the Jazz are still the same distance from #8.

   Jazzaholic
5. L.K.Anderson says:

   April 12, 2012 at 5:47 pm

   Time to place your bets. I say the Jazz will finish fourteenth and GS eighth. Jazz will draft Damian Lillard and perry Jones. Spurs will win title..
6. Steven says:

   April 12, 2012 at 6:29 pm

   I say the Jazz will either just scrape into the playoffs courtesy of a better head to head against Denver, or narrowly miss out by 1 game. GSW will conveniently fall to 7th.
7. Jazzaholic says:

   April 12, 2012 at 7:38 pm

   You can’t argue either way.

   It doesn’t matter how many GS can lose, unless CLE or NJN win 2-3.

   Likewise, it doesn’t matter how many the Jazz win, unless 2 of the group of DEN, DAL and HOU lose 2-3 games, depending on tie-breakers. Also, the Jazz have to win one more game than PHX, or they slide in front of the Jazz.

   The Jazz could easily win all the rest of their games and not make the playoffs.

   GS could just as easily lose all the rest of their games and be at #9, forced to give up their pick.

   Las Vegas must have odds on such things.

   All I could find is 35 to 1 on winning the West and 100 to 1 on winning the championship.

   My crystal ball is a little cloudy.

   When I ask “will the Jazz keep their lottery pick?”, the Magic 8 ball said “Yes.”

   When I asked “will the Warriors lose their lottery pick?”, the Magic 8 ball said “Likely, and even sooner, if you apply yourself.”

   Try it yourself (your mileage may differ)

   http://greetingsamerica.net/Magic8ball.asp

   Jazzaholic
8. Jazzaholic says:

   April 12, 2012 at 11:17 pm

   Too bad GS couldn’t squeeze one out over DAL. I really think they are trying, just undermanned and out coached.

   1 loss behind (really in front) of Cleveland for the #7 spot and keeping their own pick.

   The Dallas win keeps the Jazz in the same place, no help.

   Jazzaholic
9. L.K.Anderson says:

   April 13, 2012 at 1:23 am

   Are GS and Pistons tied for 8/9 spots with the same exact record?? What if they finish the same??
10. Steven says:

    April 13, 2012 at 7:43 am

    I think the players are trying but they still playing in a similar way as before, ‘We will score more than the other guys.’ When in reality they will get outscored by the other guys.
11. Someguy says:

    April 13, 2012 at 8:50 am

    I’ve been watching this intently to see if we’ll get it and have a feeling that it will come down to the wire. It very well may come to a tie-breaker. I just looked at Golden State’s past games for the season to see who would “win” in a tie-breaker situtation (Head to Head win/loss). Charolotte and Washington at this point couldn’t overtake Golden State (if they won the rest of their games and Golden State lost the rest of theirs, Golden State would still be ahead) All others, although some not likely, could possibly overtake. Golden State would win in a tie against Detroit (W), Cleveland (W), and Sacramento (W,L,W,W) but would lose a tie with New Jersey (L,L), or Toronto (L). New Orleans is still up in the air thus far it’s been one win and one loss but they have one game left who ever wins that one would be the tie-breaker winner. Hope this makes sense. In essence, although currently Golden State and Detroit have the exact same record, Golden State is ranked higher because they have the better head to head win/loss record with the one win they had against them earlier in the season.
12. Dean Davies says:

    April 13, 2012 at 9:36 am

    Suns vs Rockets tonight, its going to be strange wanting the Suns win when they are also going for the playoffs.
13. Jazzaholic says:

    April 13, 2012 at 1:20 pm

    If they end up in a tie, there is a coin flip. The Jazz have lost a lot of these over the years.

    Unlike breaking ties for playoff eligibility, I believe they don’t consider anything other than the W/L record and do a coin flip. If 3 are tied…they probably have a computer program to do “3 flips” at the same time. Since they went from ping-pong balls to a computer program, I assume they do the same thing with ties.

    Dammed if you do, dammed if you don’t on the Suns/Rockets game.

    If the Suns win, the Rockets drop a loss closer to the Jazz, but the Suns stay in front of the Jazz, via the tie-breaker.

    If the Rockets win, the Jazz are in sole possession of #9, but no closer to #8.

    That’s the problem with coming out of the pack. They need a lot of things (losses) to happen at the same time to get the #8 spot.

    Not impossible, but harder, and not under their control.

    As long as they keep winning, someone will probably slip a couple of times, and they will slip in.

    Can the Jazz keep winning???

    I asked the magic 8 ball and got:
    “Concentrate and ask again”

    I did, and got the same response. I think the magic 8 ball is trying to tell me something…maybe the depleted Jazz can’t win the rest of the games?

    

    Jazzaholic
14. Jazzaholic says:

    April 13, 2012 at 1:35 pm

    Actually the Jazz and PHX would flip, if they end up out of the playoffs, tied, despite the tie-breaker, which would be used only, if they can get into the playoffs.

    #13-14 tie for the lottery is just a flip.

    Jazzaholic
15. Dean Davies says:

    April 13, 2012 at 8:22 pm

    I know Gordon had a great game for the Hornets but that was some bad defence tonight. There was no effective defensive until Favours came in the 3rd.

    Unless Suns & Denver/Rockets go on a losing streak the Jazz arent going to the playoffs
16. Jazzaholic says:

    April 13, 2012 at 10:32 pm

    This might just be the stroke assuring the Jazz keep their pick, which is probably just as well. Even if they get #8, do we want to watch a 1st round whippin’?

    Here’s a great article on TANKING:

    http://articles.nydailynews.com/2011-11-05/news/30365016_1_lottery-frank-layden-roger-goodell

    Jazzaholic
17. L.K.Anderson says:

    April 15, 2012 at 7:21 pm

    Not a good night for help. Raptors, Hornets,Kings all win. Detroit gets beat.
18. Jazzaholic says:

    April 15, 2012 at 9:50 pm

    That NJNs pick is going to be hard to get.

    It will probably go right down to the wire.

    We also need the Bucks to win some games.

    Jazzaholic
19. Jazzaholic says:

    April 17, 2012 at 8:21 am

    The Cavs have a schedule where only the Wiz are a probable win. If they can stick to the script, winning only one more game, they get a coin flip with GS for #7.

    If DET can tank the rest of the games, there could be a 3 way “flip” for #7.

    Jazzaholic