Posted by: Omar on September 16th, 2012The author's views are entirely his or her own and may not reflect the views of the Utah Jazz.
Stats, stats, stats…..
I know it is easy to blame Harris for our defensive woes, but that is just plain false. Yes Mo is an upgrade in terms of defense, but that is only addressing a symptom of the actual root cause of our defensive problems. So lets compare Harris’ DNPs versus Al’s DNPs: notice the dates (can’t say Jazz were streaking or struggling), notice the opponent’s 3pt FG%, notice opponents point totals, notice the opponent’s FT attempts, notice Harris’ numbers when Al is not in the lane.
In Devin Harris’ 3 DNPs from last year…
2/2/12—Utah 101 @ GSW 119 L
Al Jefferson: 32 minutes, 8/17 FG, 3/4 FT, 6 rebounds, 19 points
4 players in double figures; held opponents under 46.9% FG, 33.3% 3pt FG
GSW: 21/25 FT
3/10/12—Utah 97 @ Chicago 111 L
Al Jefferson: 33 minutes, 8/19 FG, 0/0 FT, 8 rebounds, 16 points
5 players in double figures; held opponents under 55.8% FG, 39.9% 3pt FG
Bulls: 18/24 FT
4/4/12—Phoenix 107 @ Utah 105 L
Al Jefferson: 37 minutes, 7/15 FG, 2/2 FT, 7 rebounds, 16 points
4 players in double figures; held opponents under 45.1% FG, 41.9% 3pt FG
Suns: 12/22 FT
In Al’s 5 DNPs from last year….
12/30/11—Philadelphia 99 @ Utah 102 W
Top performer: Favors 20 points, 11 rebounds, 1 block
Enes Kanter: 15 minutes, 2/3, 6 rebounds, 4 points
Devin Harris: 26 minutes, 5/11, 8/9 FT, 3 assist, 19 points
5 players in double figures; held opponents under 48.5% FG, 30.5% 3pt FG
76ers: 21/29 FT
1/25/12—Toronto 111 @ Utah 106 L (2OT; end of regulation score Raptors 90 – Jazz 90)
Top performer: Millsap 31 points, 11 rebounds, 2 assist, 1 steal, 1 block
Enes Kanter: 17 minutes, 2/4 FG, 1/2 FT, 3 rebounds, 5 points
Devin Harris: 36 minutes, 8/12 FG, 7/11 FT, 6 assist, 24 points
5 players in double figures; held opponent under 45% FG, 35.5% 3pt FG
Raptors: 15/19 FT (in 2OT)
1/30/12—Portland 89 @ Utah 93 W
Top performer: Millsap 19 points, 15 rebounds, 1 assist, 1 steal, 2 blocks
Enes Kanter: 21 minutes, 1/8 FG, 1/2 FT, 8 rebounds, 3 points
Devin Harris: 23 minutes, 5/7 FG, 3/4 FT, 4 assist, 13 points
5 players in double figures; held opponents under 46.5% FG, 25% 3pt FG
Blazers: 10/13 FT
3/17/12—GSW 92 @ Utah 99 W (1OT; end of regulation score GSW 87 – Jazz 87)
Top performer: Favors 23 points, 17 rebounds, 2 assist, 1 steal, 1 block
Enes Kanter: 20 minutes, 2/7 FG, 13 rebounds, 4 points
Devin Harris: 30 minutes, 5/13 FG, 1/2 FT, 5 assists, 12 points
5 players in double figures; held opponents under 41.5% FG, 24% 3pt FG
GSW: 20/25 (1OT)
3/18/12—Utah 103 W @ Lakers 99
Top performer: Millsap 24 points, 9 rebounds, 5 assist, 5 steals, 2 blocks
Enes Kanter: 23 minutes, 6/7 FG, 5/7 FT, 8 rebounds, 17 points
Devin Harris: 34 minutes, 6/13 FG, 9 assists, 12 points
6 players in double figures; held opponents under 47.5% FG, 20% 3pt FG
Lakers 31/40 FT (@LA against Lakers of course; about 30% of Lakers points came from “charity” stripe—nice try Refs, Jazz still won and Lakers didn’t get 100 points)
In Harris’ 3 DNPs:
All team scored 100+ points in regulation (NO games played in OT). Jazz went 0 and 3. Jazz held opponents to an average of 49.2% FG and 38.3% 3pt FG; held opponents to an average 112 points per game (all points per game in regulation). Opponents shot 23.6 FT per game.
In Al’s 5 DNPs:
No team scored 100+ points in regulation (Jazz played 3OTs). Jazz went 4 and 1 (Jazz lost in 2OT; they had a 3 point lead with 13 seconds remaining, Caldaron hit a 24ft 3 pointer to tie). Jazz held opponents to an average of 45.8% FG and 27% 3pt FG; held opponents to an average 98 points per game (92.8 points per game in regulation). Opponents shot 25.2 FT per game, 1.6 worse than with Al and no Harris; however this number includes 3OTs, and the regular corrupted officiated game in LA versus Lakers (40 FTs!! hahaha, Thanks Stern), and still the number is not far off from the games with Al and no Harris, 1.6 FT to be exact.
Yes it might make most people sleep at night getting rid of the scapegoat Harris and getting Mo, but maybe Harris didn’t fight so hard through screens because Harris knew Al was going to do absolutely nothing to slow-up Harris‘ guy?! I would be frustrated as well.
Harris played fantastic when the lane was open, and by open I mean NO Al. Jazz completely shut down opponent’s 3pt percentage, about 11% better without Al. In all 5 Al DNPs, 5+ players were in double figures. INCLUDING 3OTs, Jazz held opponents to an average of 98 points per game with NO Al, but WITH Al and ZERO OT periods, Jazz held opponents to an average of 112 points per game–that is a 14 point difference with and without Al?!
In Al’s 5 DNPs, the margin of victory was 4.4 points (include two games that went into OT) Jazz won 4 of 5, and lost the 1 game in 2OTs, so can we put that myth to rest that “the Jazz need Al to close,”—we don’t. In fact, has it occurred to most that you can also win games by getting stops??!! It’s inaccurate to claim Jazz need Al to win close games, we didn’t need him in those 5 close games last year, and that was with a roster that included Howard, CJ, Watson, and Bell getting major minutes when active.
I’m pretty optimistic that if Lindsey is in fact a stat guy….Al will be traded by mid-October. Can’t wait!
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